Midterm Election Trading on Kalshi and Polymarket Lags Prediction Market Boom

Fecha de publicación: 3 de noviembre de 2026, 16:46

The US presidential election in 2024 served as a big-bang moment for prediction markets. Two years later, their forecasts on the 2026 midterms are getting plenty of attention, but the underlying trading illustrates how the platforms have struggled to expand beyond a few booming categories.